research

Working Papers

2024

  1. Factor Dispersions
    Factor Dispersions
    with Daniil Gerchik , Lorenzo Schoenleber , and Grigory Vilkov
    Abstract ▲
    Dispersion strategies capture the difference in variance dynamics between a basket and its components. Even though smart-beta indices intend to load heavily on a particular factor, factor dispersions based on such baskets are exposed to risks of other factors and idiosyncratic variances. Analyzing factor dispersions through a linear factor model and equicorrelation representations, we recover driving forces behind dispersion dynamics and work out an attribution of a dispersion risk premium. As a balanced combination of systematic and idiosyncratic variance components, dispersion and its risk premium provide signals about future changes in systematic and alpha-based investment opportunities.
    CBOE Research Grant
    Selected Conferences: Cboe Global Markets RMC 2024 World Federation of Exchanges webinar 2024 FMA Conference on Derivatives & Volatility Second Liverpool Workshop in Option Markets

Work in Progress

2025

  1. Firm-level News Networks
    Firm-level News Networks
  2. Market Efficiency in Prediction Markets - A Comparison with Derivatives
    Market Efficiency in Prediction Markets - A Comparison with Derivatives